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Tunisia’s political turmoil has stopped the development of renewable power projects – and much else – in their tracks and it may be impossible to resume work until the fundamental challenges posed by President Kaïs Saied’s suspension of the constitution and assumption of direct power have been resolved, in an unpromising situation that could get worse, writes John Hamilton

Tunisia
Free

The UN’s Green Climate Fund (GCF) has postponed a decision on whether to re-accredit the Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA), amid strong opposition from some members to a demand that the DBSA commit to a net-zero emissions target for its investments. It adds another element to wider arguments over Africa’s responsibilities in relation to climate change in the run-up to COP26 summit in Glasgow in November .

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New prime minister Aziz Akhannouch has thought hard about forming an administration that can drive the next phase of social and economic reform after the Islamist PJD government was eviscerated in elections. The business magnate has excited Morocco’s economic elite by forming a government filled with liberal-minded individuals and promising to deliver King Mohammed’s new development model, whose success could persuade alienated voters that the Makhzen really can offer a significantly better future for the majority, write Our Casablanca Correspondent and Jon Marks

Morocco
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Alongside the change of energy minister in mid-September, President Samia Suhulu Hassan replaced the board and senior leadership of Tanzania Electric Supply Company (Tanesco). The national utility’s new managing director Maharage Chande previously worked at MultiChoice Africa, which owns cable TV channel DStv, where he was Tanzania managing director and then regional managing director for East and West Africa.

Tanzania
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The announcement that ArcelorMittal had finally agreed with President George Weah’s government to expand the Luxembourg-based steelmaker’s iron mining and logistics operations in Liberia was especially ill-timed for Conakry, coming days after Colonel Mamady Doumbouya’s coup d’état, which removed President Alpha Condé.

Guinea | Liberia
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President Samia Suluhu Hassan has made sweeping changes to the leadership of Tanzania’s energy sector in the post-Magufuli period but macroeconomic, political and legislative obstacles to deeper change will remain for some time, writes Dan Marks.

Tanzania
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Sudan’s embattled civilian-military government is now two years into a three-year term, but fissures in the uneasy alliance that sees power divided between Prime Minister Abdullah Hamdok and Transitional Sovereign Council head General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan are rarely far from the surface.

Sudan
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The capacity of its complex clan dynamics and political divisions to derail efforts to improve governance and contain Al-Shabaab is again apparent as the murderous dispute between President Farmaajo and Prime Minister Roble threatens to derail Somalia’s faltering progress. Murky politics leave even the most attractive oil and other assets stranded for want of investors able to mitigate Somalian risk, writes John Hamilton.

Somalia
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Protestors succeeded in blocking the shipment of crude through Port Sudan – critical to the oil industry in South Sudan, as well as to Khartoum’s income flows – in late September, underscoring the continued instability wrought by an incomplete regional peace agreement that has left key eastern tribes excluded, write Nazik Shammam in Khartoum and James Gavin.

South Sudan | Sudan
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A presidential taskforce report which recommended that PPAs be redrawn has been greeted with resignation by stakeholders who have been ground down by years of dithering. Industry players are now left hoping the government will adopt a realistic outlook in renegotiations, writes Dan Marks

Kenya
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The military junta that deposed President Alpha Condé remains insistent that it’s taking a ‘business as usual’ approach as it starts discussions over the formation of a new government, but the outlook for Guinea’s political landscape, and the energy sector, remains up in the air, writes David Slater

Guinea
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The Rwandan deployment has changed the course of the Mozambique government’s battle against Islamist insurgents. This opens the way for a crucial resumption of big gas projects in Cabo Delgado, but questions remain about the Rwandan deployment’s funding, President Kagame’s strategic goals and whether the insurgency is really beaten, writes Marc Howard

Mozambique | Tanzania
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Mozambique was not considered part of President Paul Kagame’s strategic orbit, and the Rwanda Defence Force (RDF) deployment to Cabo Delgado has aroused considerable interest and controversy in eastern and southern Africa. The straight-line distance from Kigali to Palma is some 1,500km, which poses logistical challenges for sustaining a large deployment, particularly for a country of Rwanda’s limited means. This has led analysts to query who is providing the funding.

Mozambique | Rwanda
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The Egypt-Lebanon gas deal shows Cairo’s determination to reinforce its indispensable role as regional leader, but the highly publicised arrangement also highlights some of the contradictions in Cairo’s commercial gas strategy, write James Gavin and John Hamilton

Egypt
Issue 446 - 26 September 2021

Buhari appoints new NNPC board

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In another step towards the promised overhaul of Nigeria’s hydrocarbons industry, President Muhammadu Buhari has appointed the board and management of the soon-to-be incorporated Nigerian National Petroleum Company Ltd (NNPC).

Nigeria