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Subscriber

The National Union of Petroleum and Gas Workers (Nupeng) suspended a planned nationwide strike by oil tanker drivers on 10 October to allow for discussions with the government. The drivers had been planning to start their industrial action the following day over poor road conditions and other issues.

Nigeria
Free

Prizes and league tables should often be treated with great caution (as underlined by Nobel laureate Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s war in Tigray), but credit should be given when it is due and, in that context, Uganda’s fourth consecutive first place in the African Development Bank (AfDB)’s Electricity Regulatory Index should be acknowledged as a triumph for the rule of law and sound management.

Uganda
Free

The proliferation of coups d’état across West Africa and the wider region over the past 18 months points to the return of chronic instability to one of the world’s poorest and most vulnerable (not least to climate change) regions. Many parts of the post-colonial continent, and especially its emerging West African nations, were defined by the speedy demise of civilian government as military rulers took over in the 1960s.

Issue 457 - 25 March 2022

A Russian trade?

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Both BP and Eni have been looking to offload their stakes in major Russian energy assets in the wake of the invasion of Ukraine, with Algeria mooted as a potential buyer for one key project.

Algeria
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Ongoing squabbles between backers of Electricity Supply Corporation of Malawi (Escom) and Power Market Limited (PML) have paralysed the development of the power sector in Malawi, according to developers. Although PML started operations in 2020 and nominally took over the single buyer role last year, Escom still controls the bulk transaction and stabilisation account for the sector, often referred to as the master accounts. This gives it a high level of de facto control over the sector, including offtake agreements.

Malawi
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A string of UAE companies – some with links to national security adviser Sheikh Tahnoon Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan – are said to be involved in a plan to develop a new Red Sea port, working with Sudanese businessman Osama Daoud Abdellatif. In a complex political situation, this might also be of interest to regime number two Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo (aka Hemedti)’s friends in Russia.

Sudan
Issue 464 - 08 July 2022

Nigeria enters election season

Subscriber

Many in Nigeria believe the authorities’ move to implement minimum electricity generation capacity is politically motivated. With elections due in 2023, the pressure is on President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration to demonstrate its achievements. Reaching a minimum 5GW of available generation capacity would be an improvement from past administrations.

Nigeria
Free

The extent that markets have shifted since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February has been underlined by a surge of energy diplomacy in recent weeks. Complex security issues were integral to United States President Joe Biden’s mid-July fist bump with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Al-Saud, but an effort to reduce oil prices was the real agenda-setter.

Subscriber

Recently dismissed National Oil Corporation chairman Mustafa Sanalla claims his successor Farhat Bengdara is planning a deal with UAE-based Al-Ghurair Group over the Ras Lanuf oil refinery that could end up costing NOC up to $600m/yr. For a decade, Al-Ghurair subsidiary Trasta Energy and NOC have been in a relentless dispute over the Libyan Emirati Refining Company (Lerco) joint venture – and the refinery hasn’t operated since 2013.

Libya
Free

A substantial number of African leaders are expected in London on 19 September for the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II, who died aged 96 in Balmoral, Scotland on 8 September. The major international gathering in London will provide a rare opportunity for informal meetings, as politicians engage while they mourn the monarch – whose service to the Commonwealth, hard work and friendly relations with a great number of political leaders over many decades was particularly appreciated.

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Scores of people have been killed since late May in attacks on villages in the northern Cabo Delgado province blamed on Islamist militants. In one attack near the coastal town of Palma, the attackers abducted residents from Monjane and Ulumbi villages who were found beheaded on 27 May in nearby bush. Security forces have deployed in the area, where consortia led by Anadarko and Eni are planning big liquefied natural gas (LNG) developments.

Mozambique
Issue 439 - 27 May 2021

Chad: After Idriss Déby Itno

Subscriber

Idriss Déby Itno’s mid-April death fighting rebels in the Kanem region ended four decades of IDI’s authoritarian rule, but was immediately replaced by a Transitional Military Council (CMT) led by the late president’s son, 37-year-old Mahamat ‘Kaka’s Idriss Déby (AE 437/32).

Chad
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Mali’s second coup d’état in less than a year, following the Chadian president’s death fighting on the frontline, are violent reminders of the stakes at play in the Sahel region, which veers from crisis to crisis despite ever larger efforts by regional governments and their international partners, who are pushing hard to catalyse much-needed investment flows into suffering economies.

Mali
Free

Brave efforts are being made to continue with business as usual in the Sahel, despite an apparently never-ending security crisis, which has been further aggravated by a split in the western-backed G5 Sahel (G5S) alliance of Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger, as the military-led regime in Bamako seeks to distance itself from France and its allies.

Mauritania | Niger | Chad | Burkina Faso | Senegal | Mali
Subscriber

China under President Xi Jinping has shifted markedly from its position of not intervening in foreign conflicts – even in a multilateral context – and positioning its forces far from the People’s Republic. Beijing has stepped up its military presence in Africa over the last decade, in large part through its contributions to United Nations peace-keeping missions.

DR Congo | South Sudan | Djibouti | Mali