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Egypt Power Report 2021


08 Apr 2021

Egypt’s power sector is evolving with extraordinary rapidity and focus has switched forcibly towards renewables.

African Energy's Egypt Power Report 2021 is a comprehensive guide to the risks, realities, opportunities and threats associated with entering Egypt's electricity industry.

Lead written by John Hamilton, the report makes a detailed examination of the government’s power sector priorities as it plans for the next phase of procurement and examines the opportunities and challenges facing the electricity supply industry, including the impact of coronavirus on demand growth and sectoral reforms and the government's ambitious renewable generation targets.

The report examines sector opportunities, including:

  • An imminent opening of a secondary market for solar FiT project.
  • Progress towards the potential sale of three 4.8GW gas-to-power (GTP) plants and the alternative priorities that the authorities could use for evaluating bids in a process which is still opaque.
  • Early net-metering projects, which represent the first phase of market-based projects.
  • The prospects for Egypt as a regional energy hub.

 

Analysis is underpinned and informed by independent power generation forecasts based on the actual project development pipeline, with data drawn from African Energy Live Data – our proprietary database of more than 6,500 power projects and plants.

Request a PDF factsheet covering key findings for supply and demand and market opportunities

 

Watch the report's lead authors discuss Egypt

The report's lead writer John Hamilton was joined by African Energy founder Jon Marks for a discussion of the research undertaken for the report and a range of issues confronting Egypt's electricity industry.

Key Features
  • The government’s priorities as it plans for the next phase of power sector procurement.
  • African Energy’s own Risk Management Index and 15-year (2010-24) power supply analysis, identifying trends on installed capacity broken down by fuel, technology and provinces.
  • Demand and supply outlook scenarios (2020-2035)- including a look at how much of the existing less-efficient thermal generation may have to be decommissioned.
  • An examination of the  potential impact of desalination on the currently very large reserve capacity margin
  • An estimate of the proportion of power customers now paying close to cost-reflective tariffs
  • Comprehensive information on existing and planned generation projects, including project profiles.
  • Political and economic risk analysis.
  • Profiles of key players in the sector.
  • Analysis of policy and regulation including future plans, major legislation and legal requirements for generation, transmission and distribution.
  • Natural gas resources and availability.
Contents

1. Executive Summary
2. Risk Management Report
3. Politics
4. Macroeconomic overview
5. Power sector overview
6. Power sector policy and regulation
7. Resource availability
8. Competitive landscape
9. Transmission and distribution
10. Market openings for investors
11. Supply and demand outlook
12. Installed capacity data
13. Power generation projects
 

Download the report's detailed contents list

Reasons to buy

  • Identify the risks  – Investors have good reasons to be wary about the political, economic and sectoral risks. The report looks beyond standard assessments of government stability to identify where the real risks might lie.
  • Examine the opportunities – The report analyses progress towards potential sale of three 4.8GW power plants and questions alternative priorities that the authorities could use for evaluating bids in a process which is still opaque.
  • Understand the shift towards renewables – The trajectory of Egypt’s power sector has shifted forcibly towards renewables. The report analyses the progress of that change and the opportunities which come out of it including the imminent opening of a secondary market for solar FiT projects.
  • Evaluate the progress of sectoral reform – Coronavirus has slowed progress towards subsidy reform and full sector liberalisation but important steps have been taken. African Energy’s analysis of tariffs and market structure provides an estimate of the proportion of power customers now paying close to cost-reflective tariffs.
  • See how procurement is evolving in line with government priorities – Egypt’s power generation procurement started with large scale state-owned EPC+finance initiatives and has progressed rapidly through the feed-in tariff and BOOT tender processes to the increasing predominance of bilaterally negotiated IPPs. The report looks at the government’s priorities as it plans for the next phase of procurement.
  • Examine Egypt’s potential as a regional energy hub – The government aims to open markets in the three main regions of the Arab world, sub-Saharan Africa and in Europe. The report itemises progress towards development of the necessary interconnections.

Egypt Power Report 2021

Published:

Price: £2,995

Format: PDF

Pages: 95

The report is suitable for a team of up to five users.

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